What's the GGRI score, and how is it calculated?

The GGRI (Global Geopolitical Risk Index) is a 0–100 score per country, refreshed daily, that captures the operating risk of doing business or operating personnel in that country.

Score interpretation

• 0–30 (LOW): Stable. No exceptional risk signals.
• 31–55 (MOD): Moderate. Localized issues; standard precautions apply.
• 56–75 (HIGH): Elevated. Active operational considerations — review travel, supply chain, asset exposure.
• 76–100 (CRIT): Critical. Major active threats; expect disruption.

How the score is built

Each country’s score is the weighted aggregate of ten categories: security, political, civil unrest, crime, economic, regulatory, infrastructure, cyber, health, and government advisories. Categories are scored from 67 OSINT (open-source intelligence) sources including wire services, mainstream media, government advisories, specialist conflict trackers, and selected social signals.

Each event is scored on five dimensions: severity, source reliability, recency, frequency, and business impact. Country scores combine a structural baseline (slow-changing, like sanctions or governance quality) with active-event signal (fast-changing, like protests or strikes).

For the full mathematical definition, see the methodology page.

Why does today’s score differ from yesterday’s?

Active-event signals decay over 7 days — an incident that drove yesterday’s score will fade unless followed by new corroborating events. The structural baseline stays mostly stable (changes only when a country’s long-term profile shifts: regime change, sanctions, etc.).